Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.268061 0.294185 0.320837 0.350009 0.380987 0.412852 0.448053
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.242733 0.280356 0.320058 0.364900 0.413962 0.465842 0.524674
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.218550 0.264195 0.313814 0.371385 0.435966 0.505815 0.586702
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.202204 0.254592 0.313053 0.382474 0.462009 0.549655 0.652901
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.184697 0.241846 0.307228 0.386566 0.479232 0.583084 0.707291
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.168789 0.229487 0.300591 0.388625 0.493279 0.612361 0.756719
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.153569 0.216657 0.292279 0.387722 0.503081 0.636205 0.799592
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.142299 0.207776 0.287938 0.390882 0.517160 0.664700 0.847741
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.135520 0.204002 0.289413 0.400756 0.539073 0.702380 0.906815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.125831 0.195709 0.284595 0.402306 0.550452 0.727248 0.950604
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.118841 0.190482 0.283262 0.407878 0.566543 0.757688 1.001107
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.114879 0.189050 0.286619 0.419264 0.589825 0.796937 1.062460
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106672 0.181461 0.281776 0.420203 0.600344 0.821198 1.106615
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099762 0.175254 0.278421 0.422809 0.612828 0.847874 1.153885
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092100 0.167436 0.272440 0.421574 0.620119 0.867953 1.193034
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087825 0.164348 0.272777 0.428651 0.638135 0.901552 1.249159
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.082104 0.158671 0.269155 0.430094 0.648598 0.925530 1.293322
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.076534 0.152846 0.265003 0.430542 0.657560 0.947509 1.335002
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.070696 0.146188 0.259295 0.428526 0.663007 0.964845 1.370778
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.066605 0.142085 0.257118 0.431293 0.674782 0.990336 1.417013
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.064736 0.141547 0.260188 0.441493 0.696699 1.029151 1.480530
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.060782 0.137200 0.257273 0.442928 0.706521 1.052123 1.523761
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.058147 0.134957 0.257450 0.448754 0.722367 1.083066 1.577431